Anticipating a nuclear Iran [Texte imprimé] : challenges for U.S. security / Jacquelyn K. Davis and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff Jr.

Notes bibliogr.

Introduction: setting the scene for Iran 's emergence as a nuclear power -- The deterrence dynamics of an Iran with nuclear weapons -- Does the nature of the regime matter? -- Model I: A defensive Iran -- Model II: an aggressive Iran -- Model iii: An unstable Iran -- Considerations influencing Iran 's nuclear emergence -- A defensive Iran 's nuclear posture, doctrinal priorities, and force posture (Model I) -- An aggressive Iran that flexes its muscles (Model II) -- An unstable Iran and the deterrence of rogue elements and nonstate actors (Model III) -- Nuclear weapons operationalization: what type of nuclear force? -- Model I: A defensive deterrent -- Model II: An offensive deterrent for an aggressive Iran -- Model III: An unstable Iran and the need to deter regime elements -- Implications for U.S. strategic and operational planning -- Iran as catalyst for a new deterrence dynamic among nuclear states -- Israel and the challenge of catalytic warfare -- Of dyads, triads, and the need for a new deterrence paradigm relating to a nuclear iran -- U.S. deterrence planning in the event of an Iranian nuclear breakout -- Declaratory policy, escalation control, and strategic communications -- Offensive-strike options and preventive planning -- Reassuring allies/coalition partners in the face of Iranian proliferation -- Assuring and dissuading Israel in the face of an Iranian nuclear breakout -- Missile defenses and consequence-management considerations -- Dealing with a nuclear Iran and asymmetric challenges -- Hezbollah and asymmetric operations -- Nuclear weapons and asymmetric operations -- Deterring rogue elements or nonstate armed groups -- Deterrence planning for the twenty-first century -- U.S. deterrence planning and Iran -- Extended deterrence in the "second nuclear age" -- Cyberwarfare and network operations